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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Linked Open Terms with its method-specific working model.
Knowledge Modeling
Linked Open Terms
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Linked Open Terms connects terminology work with linked-data thinking and makes terminology technically connectable. Vocabulary, meanings, and references can thereby be maintained consistently.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-4 WochenWochen bis Monate45-60 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten2-82-82-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesOntology Requirements, Conceptual Model, Published Ontology, Documentation, Maintenance PlanAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
OntologyMethodologyAgileSemantic
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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