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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |  Decision Making OODA Loop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Half day | Half day | 15-60 min je Zyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 | 3-8 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Leverage Map, Action Strategy | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy |