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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 WochenHalf day45-60 min15-60 min je Zyklus
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten3-122-81-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesLeverage Map, Action StrategyAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
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