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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighLowHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 WochenHalf day15-30 min2-8 h
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten3-122-62-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesLeverage Map, Action StrategyRoot cause notes, CountermeasuresProblem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations
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