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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  UX Design Lean UX Canvas |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | The Lean UX Canvas helps clarify user behavior, touchpoints, and concept decisions. It makes assumptions and desired outcomes visible and captures the result as a completed canvas, hypothesis list, and first experiment. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 2-3 h | 45-90 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Completed Lean UX Canvas, Hypothesis list, First experiment | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | CanvasHypothesisOutcomesDiscovery | ChangeDecisionStrategy | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |