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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Lean Startup with its method-specific working model.
Innovation
Lean Startup
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
1-4 WochenWochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus20-35 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten2-81-52-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesHypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decisionTest Card with a pre-set thresholdDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
LeanStartupValidationMVP
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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