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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Innovation Lean Startup |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Product Strategy Lean Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 1-8 | 1-6 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment Backlog |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | LeanStartupValidationMVP | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model |