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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Innovation Lean Startup |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Business Strategy 5-Minuten VC-Check |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | The 5-Minute VC Check clarifies opportunities and strategic options at the earliest idea stage. It compares problem quality, customer willingness to pay, alternatives, differentiation, and market potential, and captures the result as a VC-check note, go/sharpen/park decision, and risk list. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 5-15 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 1-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | VC-check note, Go/sharpen/park decision, Risk and assumption list, Next validation step |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | LeanStartupValidationMVP | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | StartupValidationCompetition |