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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Innovation Lean Startup |  Product Strategy Impact Mapping |  Decision Making Constraint Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures. | When an initiative stalls, the limit often lies not in the idea but in hard or soft boundary conditions. Constraint Analysis separates these limits and shows which of them can actually be shaped. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | 45-90 min | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 3-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options | Constraint List, Hard/Soft Classification, Option Impact Notes, Decision Boundaries |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | LeanStartupValidationMVP | OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning | ConstraintsDecisionPlanningOptions |