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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Intervention Mapping |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Decision Making OODA Loop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Intervention Mapping translates a need for change into a planned, evaluable program. The method connects target group, determinants, actions, and measurement into a traceable chain. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-5 Tage | 45-90 min | 15-60 min je Zyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 4-12 | 2-8 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Logic Model, Change Objectives, Intervention Components, Evaluation Plan | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ChangeSystems thinkingCapability | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy |