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| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making Delphi Method | ![]() DevOps Incident Timeline Analysis | ![]() Operations Causal Factor Analysis | ![]() Systems Thinking Current Reality Tree |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For an incident with an unclear sequence, the method makes the timeline precisely visible. It separates perception, reaction, and delay so cause and effect become more clearly readable. | For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events. | A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 60-180 min | 2-6 h | 2-6 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-10 | 3-10 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Incident Timeline, Evidence Log, Delay Analysis, Improvement Actions | Event Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective Actions | Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | IncidentTimelineSite Reliability Engineering | CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline | Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality |



