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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of a branching impact map with a Why goal at the root, actor circles, How behavior changes and What options.
Product Strategy
Impact Mapping
Paper illustration of Hooked Model with its method-specific working model.
Growth
Hooked Model
Paper illustration for Flywheel.
Growth
Flywheel
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures.The Hooked Model helps clarify engagement loops, user behavior, and experiments. It makes repeat behavior measurable and captures the result as a hooked loop, trigger map, and reward design.Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen45-90 minMultiple workshops over several weeks60-120 min
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten3-82-83-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesImpact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery OptionsHooked loop, Trigger map, Reward design, Ethics checkFlywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning
GrowthBehaviorRetention
GrowthRetentionConversion
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