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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy Impact Mapping |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min | Half day | 20–45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 3-8 | Small cross-functional group |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning |