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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Knowledge Modeling IBIS |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | Half day | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 3-8 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Issue Map, Positions, Argument Notes | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | RationaleKnowledgeDecision | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis | SensemakingDecisionRationale |