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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper notes move from an inbox to action, project and calendar collections.
Operations
Getting Things Done
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.With many open commitments and ideas in daily life, a reliable external storage system emerges. The method relieves the mind so priority and context don't have to compete in memory.For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen1-2 h Setup, laufend30-90 min10-20 min daily
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten11-61
Formatdifferent
AsyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAction Lists, Project List, Review RoutineDecision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ProductivityPlanningTasksExecution
DecisionTreeOptions
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
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