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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |  Product Discovery Test Card |  Product Discovery Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. | When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | 20-35 min | 60-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes | Test Card with a pre-set threshold | Prioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyAnalysisPlanning | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis |