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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Game Day workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Game Day
Paper illustration for Root Cause Tree Analysis
Operations
Root Cause Tree Analysis
Paper illustration for Root Cause Analysis.
Operations
Root Cause Analysis
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In preparing for rare incidents, the method tests response capability under controlled conditions. It shows where assumptions about stability, roles, and recovery are too optimistic.For a problem with several suspected causes, the method builds a causal structure instead of a mere list. It makes visible how causes connect and where the strongest points of leverage lie.When a problem keeps recurring and the cause stays unclear, the method exposes the underlying mechanism. It separates symptom, guess, and robust explanation from one another.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 WochenHalber Tag1-3 h1-4 h
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten5-202-83-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesSimulation Notes, Gaps List, Updated RunbooksCause Tree, Evidence Notes, CountermeasuresProblem Statement, Cause Hypotheses, Confirmed Causes, Action Plan
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ResilienceOperationsIncident
Root causeTreeIncidentQuality
Root causeProblem solvingQualityIncident
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