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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Product Strategy DIBB |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 2-4 h | 1-2 h | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 2-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report | Leverage Map, Action Strategy |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy |