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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |  Product Discovery Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas |  Product Discovery Test Card |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. | When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min | 60-90 min | 20-35 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes | Prioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog | Test Card with a pre-set threshold |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ChangeDecisionStrategy | ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |