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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen2-6 h15-60 min je Zyklus2-8 h
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten3-101-82-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesFMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation ActionsSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesProblem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations
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