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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Five-Minute VC Check with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
5-Minuten VC-Check
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.The 5-Minute VC Check clarifies opportunities and strategic options at the earliest idea stage. It compares problem quality, customer willingness to pay, alternatives, differentiation, and market potential, and captures the result as a VC-check note, go/sharpen/park decision, and risk list.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen5-15 min45-60 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten1-52-81-6
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesVC-check note, Go/sharpen/park decision, Risk and assumption list, Next validation stepAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
StartupValidationCompetition
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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