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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen1-5 Tage15-60 min je Zyklus30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
6-30 ExpertenNutzertraffic1-81-5
Formatdifferent
AsyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning DecisionSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesCompleted Experiment Canvas, Success Metric
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
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