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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen1-5 Tage1-2 h20-35 min
Participantsdifferent
6-30 ExpertenNutzertraffic2-81-5
Formatdifferent
AsyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning DecisionDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportTest Card with a pre-set threshold
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
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