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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLowLow
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen30-60 min20-35 min25-40 min
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten1-51-51-5
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesCompleted Experiment Canvas, Success MetricTest Card with a pre-set thresholdLearning Card with evidence and next action
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning
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