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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 60-120 min | Half day | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario | Value Chain Map, Lever List |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis |