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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy DIBB |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-2 h | Half day | 60-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report | Leverage Map, Action Strategy | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking |