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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen1-2 h2-4 hMehrere Tage bis Wochen
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten2-82-62-6
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action BacklogMORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic Recommendations
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
Root causeSafetyIncident
Root causeSafetySystemicIncident
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