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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy DIBB |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-2 h | 45-90 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 2-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | ChangeDecisionStrategy |