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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Decision Tree |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 30-90 min | Half day | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-6 | 3-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List | Value Chain Map, Lever List | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | DecisionTreeOptions | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation |