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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Decision Tree |  Product Discovery Test Card |  Product Discovery MVP Test Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. | When several minimal variants compete to answer the same question, it makes comparing and choosing between them cleaner. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Test Matrix and a Test Plan. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 30-90 min | 20-35 min | 45-75 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List | Test Card with a pre-set threshold | Test Matrix, Test Plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | DecisionTreeOptions | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryOptions |