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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen30-90 min2-4 h15-30 min
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten1-62-62-6
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesDecision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action BacklogRoot cause notes, Countermeasures
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
DecisionTreeOptions
Root causeSafetyIncident
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
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