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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for DACI
Decision Making
DACI
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In cross-functional decisions, responsibilities quickly blur between approval, influence, and execution. DACI arranges these roles so decision pressure, contribution, and information stay cleanly separated.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen30-60 min10-30 min je Item1-4 h or multiple rounds
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten2-101-84-12 Experten
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesDACI Matrix, Decision Owner, Decision LogThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
DecisionRolesGovernanceAlignment
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationExpertsForecasting
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