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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |  Knowledge Modeling IBIS |  Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. | IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 60-180 min | 1-3 h | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 4-20 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes | Issue Map, Positions, Argument Notes | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ComplexitySensemakingDecision | RationaleKnowledgeDecision | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |