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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |  Architecture Architecture Decision Record |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. | An ADR permanently records an architecture decision with context, trade-offs, and consequence. It creates continuity for later changes because the decision path stays traceable. | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 60-180 min | 15-45 min | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 4-20 | 1-3 | 1-10 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes | ADR File, Decision Log, Rationale | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ComplexitySensemakingDecision | ArchitectureRationaleDocumentationGovernance | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight |