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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |  Product Strategy ICE Scoring |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | When ideas need sorting quickly, it condenses impact, confidence, and effort into one compact score. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as an ICE table and top-ideas list. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min | 1-5 Tage | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | Nutzertraffic | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | ICE Table, Top Idea List |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | PrioritizationScoringGrowthDecision |