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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Knowledge Modeling IBIS |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min | 1-3 h | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 2-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Issue Map, Positions, Argument Notes | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | RationaleKnowledgeDecision | ChangeDecisionStrategy |