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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Concierge MVP
Product Discovery
Concierge MVP
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When an idea can first fail or grow through genuine hands-on support, it relies on manual work instead of automation. It shows whether user value holds up even under manual execution.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen1-4 Wochen45-60 min30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten3-10 Kunden2-81-5
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesConcierge Learnings, Service Blueprint, MVP RisksAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingCompleted Experiment Canvas, Success Metric
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
MVPValidationServiceDiscovery
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
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