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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen45-120 minMehrere Tage bis Wochen15-60 min je Zyklus
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten2-62-61-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesChange Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListMORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic RecommendationsSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
Root causeSafetySystemicIncident
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
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