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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Operations Change Analysis |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Decision Making OODA Loop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 45-120 min | 45-90 min | 15-60 min je Zyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-6 | 2-8 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Change Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action List | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy |