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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Blameless Postmortem workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Blameless Postmortem
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.After an incident with damage or a near miss, the method creates a sober field for learning without assigning blame. It directs attention to the course of events, conditions, and effective countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen2-6 h15-60 min je Zyklus30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten3-101-83-12
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective ActionsSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesPostmortem Doc, Action Items, Timeline
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
Site Reliability EngineeringIncidentLearningReliability
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