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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
A paper-based illustration representing C4 Model with its core stages and visible working result.
Architecture
C4 Model
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.The C4 Model makes a system legible across several resolution levels, from context down to code. It suits situations where different audiences need to understand the same architecture from different altitudes.The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation.When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen1-4 h30-90 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten1-51-101-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesContext Diagram, Container Diagram, Component DiagramVUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning PlanArgument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ArchitectureCommunicationVisualization
SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight
SensemakingDecisionRationale
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