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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |  Product Discovery Test Card |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Half day | 30-60 min | 20-35 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric | Test Card with a pre-set threshold |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |