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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-2 h | 45-60 min | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 2-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis |