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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  DevOps Blameless Postmortem |  Product Discovery MVP Test Matrix |  Product Discovery Fake Door Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | After an incident with damage or a near miss, the method creates a sober field for learning without assigning blame. It directs attention to the course of events, conditions, and effective countermeasures. | When several minimal variants compete to answer the same question, it makes comparing and choosing between them cleaner. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Test Matrix and a Test Plan. | When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 30-90 min | 45-75 min | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 | 2-8 | Nutzertraffic |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Postmortem Doc, Action Items, Timeline | Test Matrix, Test Plan | Click Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Site Reliability EngineeringIncidentLearningReliability | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryOptions | ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery |