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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Operations Barrier Analysis |  Systems Thinking Behavior Over Time Graph |  Operations Family Tree Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions. | A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots. | For a series of incidents with a similar pattern, the method arranges individual events as branches of a common origin. It makes visible which conditions keep recurring. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 2-4 h | 20-45 min | 2-4 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-6 | 1-10 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Barrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action Backlog | Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events | Family Tree Diagram, Pattern Notes, Systemic Measures |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Root causeSafetyIncident | Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics | Root causePatternsIncidentSystemic |