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| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making Delphi Method | ![]() Product Discovery Assumption Mapping | ![]() Architecture Risk Storming | ![]() Growth A/B Testing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | Helps clarify architecture context, options, and consequences in concrete terms. It organizes technical context, alternatives, and consequences. The result is captured as an Annotated Diagram, a Prioritized Risk List, and an Action Backlog. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 45-60 min | 60-90 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 4-12 | 1-6 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Annotated Diagram, Prioritized Risk List, Action Backlog | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | RiskArchitectureWorkshopValidation | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation |



