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| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making Delphi Method | ![]() Decision Making Argument Mapping | ![]() Decision Making OODA Loop | ![]() Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-8 | 1-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | SensemakingDecisionRationale | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |



