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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 60-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-8 | 1-8 | 4-20 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | SensemakingDecisionRationale | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | ComplexitySensemakingDecision |