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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |  Decision Making Decision Tree |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | 30-90 min | 60-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-8 | 1-6 | 4-20 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | SensemakingDecisionRationale | DecisionTreeOptions | ComplexitySensemakingDecision |