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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |  Decision Making Red Teaming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. | For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | Half day | 1-4 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-8 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario | Challenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation Plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | SensemakingDecisionRationale | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis | RiskDecisionSensemaking |